BestFantasyPicks • Historical Preview

NFL High Scoring Games — Week 8, 2026

Historical BestFantasyPicks projection snapshot for NFL Week 8. This saved full-week preview is not a current recommendation or a record of final scores.

Analysis captured Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT • Frozen Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM EDT • Published Tue, Nov 3, 8:01 AM EST

Projections updated Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT • Schedule updated Thu, Oct 29, 7:45 PM EDT

Saved weekly offensive TD outlook

Final modeled rushing and receiving TDs only; passing TDs are excluded to avoid double counting. These are not predicted final scores. Sportsbook totals are the saved market context at capture time.

Pat Rank #1Highest Scoring Potential

BAL @ BUF

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

5.43

Expected Offensive TDs

BAL

2.14

Expected offensive TDs

BUF

3.28

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

54.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #1 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Pat & Market Agree — High Scoring

Why this game ranks here

BAL

Zay Flowers leads at 0.51 expected TDs.

Zay Flowers: favorable receiving-TD matchup (37.9/100).

BUF

James Cook leads at 0.86 expected TDs.

James Cook: favorable rushing-TD matchup (34.8/100).

QB coverage

Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 3.16 receiving TDs and 2.26 rushing TDs across these offenses. 11 projected offensive players have High role confidence. BAL's largest modeled scorer contribution is Zay Flowers at 0.51 offensive TDs, with 85.0% expected snaps and High role confidence. Zay Flowers's receiving-TD matchup against BUF is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 37.9/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). BAL's validated current starting QB is Lamar Jackson (98.0% expected snaps). BUF's largest modeled scorer contribution is James Cook at 0.86 offensive TDs, with 62.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. James Cook's rushing-TD matchup against BAL is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 34.8/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). BUF's validated current starting QB is Josh Allen (98.0% expected snaps).

  • Zay Flowers — 0.061 rushing TDs + 0.447 receiving TDs • 85.0% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Zay Flowers — defense rating 37.9/100 against BUF • Defense vs WR1 receiving TDs (role-specific live blend)
  • Lamar Jackson — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • James Cook — 0.775 rushing TDs + 0.085 receiving TDs • 62.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • James Cook — defense rating 34.8/100 against BAL • Defense vs RB rushing TDs (DL/LB/S personnel-adjusted)
  • Josh Allen — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Josh Allen

    QB • BUF • 23.18 DK projected

  • Zay Flowers

    WR • BAL • 20.68 DK projected

  • James Cook

    RB • BUF • 19.33 DK projected

  • Lamar Jackson

    QB • BAL • 19.03 DK projected

Pat Rank #2Highest Scoring Potential

MIN @ DET

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

4.65

Expected Offensive TDs

MIN

1.98

Expected offensive TDs

DET

2.67

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

46.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #4 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Pat More Bullish

Why this game ranks here

MIN

Jordan Mason leads at 0.37 expected TDs.

T.J. Hockenson: favorable receiving-TD matchup (11.4/100).

DET

Jahmyr Gibbs leads at 0.97 expected TDs.

QB coverage

Kyler Murray and Jared Goff are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 3.03 receiving TDs and 1.62 rushing TDs across these offenses. 11 projected offensive players have High role confidence. MIN's largest modeled scorer contribution is Jordan Mason at 0.37 offensive TDs, with 54.5% expected snaps and Medium role confidence. T.J. Hockenson's receiving-TD matchup against DET is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 11.4/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). MIN's validated current starting QB is Kyler Murray (98.0% expected snaps). DET's largest modeled scorer contribution is Jahmyr Gibbs at 0.97 offensive TDs, with 82.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. DET's validated current starting QB is Jared Goff (98.0% expected snaps).

  • Jordan Mason — 0.343 rushing TDs + 0.022 receiving TDs • 54.5% expected snaps • Medium role confidence
  • T.J. Hockenson — defense rating 11.4/100 against DET • Defense vs TE TDs (LB/S/CB personnel-adjusted)
  • Kyler Murray — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • Jahmyr Gibbs — 0.718 rushing TDs + 0.254 receiving TDs • 82.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Jared Goff — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Jahmyr Gibbs

    RB • DET • 24.40 DK projected

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown

    WR • DET • 20.72 DK projected

  • Jared Goff

    QB • DET • 18.80 DK projected

  • Kyler Murray

    QB • MIN • 16.53 DK projected

Pat Rank #3High Scoring Potential

LAC @ LAR

Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

4.54

Expected Offensive TDs

LAC

2.00

Expected offensive TDs

LAR

2.54

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

45.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #8 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Pat More Bullish

Why this game ranks here

LAC

Omarion Hampton leads at 0.32 expected TDs.

Quentin Johnston: favorable receiving-TD matchup (35.6/100).

LAR

Kyren Williams leads at 0.83 expected TDs.

Kyren Williams: favorable rushing-TD matchup (26.2/100).

QB coverage

Justin Herbert and Matthew Stafford are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 3.08 receiving TDs and 1.45 rushing TDs across these offenses. 9 projected offensive players have High role confidence. LAC's largest modeled scorer contribution is Omarion Hampton at 0.32 offensive TDs, with 38.3% expected snaps and Medium role confidence. Quentin Johnston's receiving-TD matchup against LAR is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 35.6/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). LAC's validated current starting QB is Justin Herbert (98.0% expected snaps). LAR's largest modeled scorer contribution is Kyren Williams at 0.83 offensive TDs, with 65.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. Kyren Williams's rushing-TD matchup against LAC is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 26.2/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). LAR's validated current starting QB is Matthew Stafford (98.0% expected snaps).

  • Omarion Hampton — 0.255 rushing TDs + 0.068 receiving TDs • 38.3% expected snaps • Medium role confidence
  • Quentin Johnston — defense rating 35.6/100 against LAR • Defense vs WR2 receiving TDs (role-specific live blend)
  • Justin Herbert — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • Kyren Williams — 0.591 rushing TDs + 0.240 receiving TDs • 65.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Kyren Williams — defense rating 26.2/100 against LAC • Defense vs RB rushing TDs (DL/LB/S personnel-adjusted)
  • Matthew Stafford — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Puka Nacua

    WR • LAR • 25.15 DK projected

  • Matthew Stafford

    QB • LAR • 21.34 DK projected

  • Kyren Williams

    RB • LAR • 19.15 DK projected

  • Justin Herbert

    QB • LAC • 16.22 DK projected

Pat Rank #4High Scoring Potential

IND @ JAX

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

4.48

Expected Offensive TDs

IND

2.32

Expected offensive TDs

JAX

2.16

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

46.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #4 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Similar / Neutral

Why this game ranks here

IND

Jonathan Taylor leads at 0.77 expected TDs.

Tyler Warren: favorable receiving-TD matchup (31.6/100).

JAX

Bhayshul Tuten leads at 0.57 expected TDs.

Bhayshul Tuten: favorable rushing-TD matchup (45.3/100).

QB coverage

Daniel Jones and Trevor Lawrence are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 2.64 receiving TDs and 1.83 rushing TDs across these offenses. 11 projected offensive players have High role confidence. IND's largest modeled scorer contribution is Jonathan Taylor at 0.77 offensive TDs, with 72.7% expected snaps and High role confidence. Tyler Warren's receiving-TD matchup against JAX is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 31.6/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). IND's validated current starting QB is Daniel Jones (98.0% expected snaps). JAX's largest modeled scorer contribution is Bhayshul Tuten at 0.57 offensive TDs, with 61.7% expected snaps and High role confidence. Bhayshul Tuten's rushing-TD matchup against IND is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 45.3/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). JAX's validated current starting QB is Trevor Lawrence (98.0% expected snaps).

  • Jonathan Taylor — 0.673 rushing TDs + 0.099 receiving TDs • 72.7% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Tyler Warren — defense rating 31.6/100 against JAX • Defense vs TE TDs (LB/S/CB personnel-adjusted)
  • Daniel Jones — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • Bhayshul Tuten — 0.464 rushing TDs + 0.103 receiving TDs • 61.7% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Bhayshul Tuten — defense rating 45.3/100 against IND • Defense vs RB rushing TDs (DL/LB/S personnel-adjusted)
  • Trevor Lawrence — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Trevor Lawrence

    QB • JAX • 21.81 DK projected

  • Jonathan Taylor

    RB • IND • 17.81 DK projected

  • Daniel Jones

    QB • IND • 14.87 DK projected

  • Parker Washington

    WR • JAX • 13.67 DK projected

Pat Rank #5Above Average

CHI @ SEA

Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

4.39

Expected Offensive TDs

CHI

2.11

Expected offensive TDs

SEA

2.27

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

46.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #4 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Similar / Neutral

Why this game ranks here

CHI

D'Andre Swift leads at 0.64 expected TDs.

Kalif Raymond: favorable receiving-TD matchup (45.4/100).

SEA

Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads at 0.66 expected TDs.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: favorable receiving-TD matchup (45.2/100).

QB coverage

Caleb Williams and Sam Darnold are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 2.78 receiving TDs and 1.60 rushing TDs across these offenses. 10 projected offensive players have High role confidence. CHI's largest modeled scorer contribution is D'Andre Swift at 0.64 offensive TDs, with 67.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. Kalif Raymond's receiving-TD matchup against SEA is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 45.4/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). CHI's validated current starting QB is Caleb Williams (98.0% expected snaps). SEA's largest modeled scorer contribution is Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 0.66 offensive TDs, with 84.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving-TD matchup against CHI is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 45.2/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). SEA's validated current starting QB is Sam Darnold (98.0% expected snaps).

  • D'Andre Swift — 0.513 rushing TDs + 0.122 receiving TDs • 67.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Kalif Raymond — defense rating 45.4/100 against SEA • Defense vs WR3 receiving TDs (role-specific live blend)
  • Caleb Williams — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba — 0.000 rushing TDs + 0.656 receiving TDs • 84.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba — defense rating 45.2/100 against CHI • Defense vs WR1 receiving TDs (role-specific live blend)
  • Sam Darnold — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba

    WR • SEA • 25.74 DK projected

  • Sam Darnold

    QB • SEA • 17.73 DK projected

  • Caleb Williams

    QB • CHI • 17.02 DK projected

  • D'Andre Swift

    RB • CHI • 15.06 DK projected

Pat Rank #6Above Average

ARI @ DAL

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

4.32

Expected Offensive TDs

ARI

1.92

Expected offensive TDs

DAL

2.40

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

54.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #1 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Pat More Cautious

Why this game ranks here

ARI

Trey McBride leads at 0.56 expected TDs.

Michael Wilson: favorable receiving-TD matchup (16.4/100).

DAL

Javonte Williams leads at 0.76 expected TDs.

Javonte Williams: favorable rushing-TD matchup (38.9/100).

QB coverage

Jacoby Brissett and Dak Prescott are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 2.96 receiving TDs and 1.36 rushing TDs across these offenses. 9 projected offensive players have High role confidence. ARI's largest modeled scorer contribution is Trey McBride at 0.56 offensive TDs, with 93.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. Michael Wilson's receiving-TD matchup against DAL is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 16.4/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). ARI's validated current starting QB is Jacoby Brissett (98.0% expected snaps). DAL's largest modeled scorer contribution is Javonte Williams at 0.76 offensive TDs, with 74.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. Javonte Williams's rushing-TD matchup against ARI is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 38.9/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). DAL's validated current starting QB is Dak Prescott (98.0% expected snaps).

  • Trey McBride — 0.000 rushing TDs + 0.558 receiving TDs • 93.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Michael Wilson — defense rating 16.4/100 against DAL • Defense vs WR1 receiving TDs (role-specific live blend)
  • Jacoby Brissett — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • Javonte Williams — 0.648 rushing TDs + 0.115 receiving TDs • 74.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Javonte Williams — defense rating 38.9/100 against ARI • Defense vs RB rushing TDs (DL/LB/S personnel-adjusted)
  • Dak Prescott — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Dak Prescott

    QB • DAL • 22.64 DK projected

  • Jacoby Brissett

    QB • ARI • 19.83 DK projected

  • Trey McBride

    TE • ARI • 19.04 DK projected

  • CeeDee Lamb

    WR • DAL • 17.71 DK projected

Pat Rank #7Above Average

NE @ MIA

Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

4.08

Expected Offensive TDs

NE

2.48

Expected offensive TDs

MIA

1.59

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

43.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #11 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Pat More Bullish

Why this game ranks here

NE

Rhamondre Stevenson leads at 0.62 expected TDs.

Hunter Henry: favorable receiving-TD matchup (17.6/100).

MIA

Ollie Gordon II leads at 0.40 expected TDs.

Caleb Douglas: favorable receiving-TD matchup (39.7/100).

QB coverage

Drake Maye and Malik Willis are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 2.47 receiving TDs and 1.61 rushing TDs across these offenses. 13 projected offensive players have High role confidence. NE's largest modeled scorer contribution is Rhamondre Stevenson at 0.62 offensive TDs, with 66.7% expected snaps and High role confidence. Hunter Henry's receiving-TD matchup against MIA is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 17.6/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). NE's validated current starting QB is Drake Maye (98.0% expected snaps). MIA's largest modeled scorer contribution is Ollie Gordon II at 0.40 offensive TDs, with 68.0% expected snaps and High role confidence. Caleb Douglas's receiving-TD matchup against NE is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 39.7/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). MIA's validated current starting QB is Malik Willis (98.0% expected snaps).

  • Rhamondre Stevenson — 0.448 rushing TDs + 0.172 receiving TDs • 66.7% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Hunter Henry — defense rating 17.6/100 against MIA • Defense vs TE TDs (LB/S/CB personnel-adjusted)
  • Drake Maye — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • Ollie Gordon II — 0.360 rushing TDs + 0.038 receiving TDs • 68.0% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Caleb Douglas — defense rating 39.7/100 against NE • Defense vs WR2 receiving TDs (role-specific live blend)
  • Malik Willis — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Drake Maye

    QB • NE • 24.71 DK projected

  • Malik Willis

    QB • MIA • 15.83 DK projected

  • Rhamondre Stevenson

    RB • NE • 14.78 DK projected

  • Hunter Henry

    TE • NE • 12.12 DK projected

Pat Rank #8Average / Lower Relative Opportunity

LV @ NYJ

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

3.96

Expected Offensive TDs

LV

2.13

Expected offensive TDs

NYJ

1.83

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

45.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #8 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Similar / Neutral

Why this game ranks here

LV

Ashton Jeanty leads at 0.57 expected TDs.

Ashton Jeanty: favorable rushing-TD matchup (39.6/100).

NYJ

Breece Hall leads at 0.36 expected TDs.

Garrett Wilson: favorable receiving-TD matchup (28.9/100).

QB coverage

Kirk Cousins and Geno Smith are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 2.82 receiving TDs and 1.14 rushing TDs across these offenses. 12 projected offensive players have High role confidence. LV's largest modeled scorer contribution is Ashton Jeanty at 0.57 offensive TDs, with 61.0% expected snaps and High role confidence. Ashton Jeanty's rushing-TD matchup against NYJ is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 39.6/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). LV's validated current starting QB is Kirk Cousins (98.0% expected snaps). NYJ's largest modeled scorer contribution is Breece Hall at 0.36 offensive TDs, with 57.0% expected snaps and High role confidence. Garrett Wilson's receiving-TD matchup against LV is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 28.9/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). NYJ's validated current starting QB is Geno Smith (98.0% expected snaps).

  • Ashton Jeanty — 0.289 rushing TDs + 0.286 receiving TDs • 61.0% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Ashton Jeanty — defense rating 39.6/100 against NYJ • Defense vs RB rushing TDs (DL/LB/S personnel-adjusted)
  • Kirk Cousins — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • Breece Hall — 0.288 rushing TDs + 0.069 receiving TDs • 57.0% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Garrett Wilson — defense rating 28.9/100 against LV • Defense vs WR1 receiving TDs (role-specific live blend)
  • Geno Smith — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Kirk Cousins

    QB • LV • 17.92 DK projected

  • Brock Bowers

    TE • LV • 17.40 DK projected

  • Geno Smith

    QB • NYJ • 16.55 DK projected

  • Ashton Jeanty

    RB • LV • 16.16 DK projected

Pat Rank #9Average / Lower Relative Opportunity

CAR @ GB

Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM EDT • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

3.92

Expected Offensive TDs

CAR

1.83

Expected offensive TDs

GB

2.09

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

47.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #3 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Pat More Cautious

Why this game ranks here

CAR

Tetairoa McMillan leads at 0.51 expected TDs.

Tetairoa McMillan: favorable receiving-TD matchup (42.1/100).

GB

Tucker Kraft leads at 0.53 expected TDs.

Tucker Kraft: favorable receiving-TD matchup (33.6/100).

QB coverage

Bryce Young and Jordan Love are validated starters.

Availability: Questionable — Matthew Golden.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 2.95 receiving TDs and 0.97 rushing TDs across these offenses. 11 projected offensive players have High role confidence. CAR's largest modeled scorer contribution is Tetairoa McMillan at 0.51 offensive TDs, with 77.7% expected snaps and High role confidence. Tetairoa McMillan's receiving-TD matchup against GB is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 42.1/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). CAR's validated current starting QB is Bryce Young (98.0% expected snaps). GB's largest modeled scorer contribution is Tucker Kraft at 0.53 offensive TDs, with 80.7% expected snaps and High role confidence. Tucker Kraft's receiving-TD matchup against CAR is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 33.6/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). GB's validated current starting QB is Jordan Love (98.0% expected snaps). Current availability is questionable for Matthew Golden; their status may change this outlook.

  • Tetairoa McMillan — 0.000 rushing TDs + 0.507 receiving TDs • 77.7% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Tetairoa McMillan — defense rating 42.1/100 against GB • Defense vs WR1 receiving TDs (role-specific live blend)
  • Bryce Young — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • Tucker Kraft — 0.000 rushing TDs + 0.534 receiving TDs • 80.7% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Tucker Kraft — defense rating 33.6/100 against CAR • Defense vs TE TDs (LB/S/CB personnel-adjusted)
  • Jordan Love — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Tetairoa McMillan

    WR • CAR • 19.04 DK projected

  • Jordan Love

    QB • GB • 18.42 DK projected

  • Bryce Young

    QB • CAR • 17.93 DK projected

  • Christian Watson

    WR • GB • 15.30 DK projected

Pat Rank #10Average / Lower Relative Opportunity

TEN @ CIN

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

3.78

Expected Offensive TDs

TEN

1.60

Expected offensive TDs

CIN

2.19

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

46.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #4 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Pat More Cautious

Why this game ranks here

TEN

Tony Pollard leads at 0.40 expected TDs.

Elic Ayomanor: favorable receiving-TD matchup (44.5/100).

CIN

Chase Brown leads at 0.67 expected TDs.

Ja'Marr Chase: favorable receiving-TD matchup (42.7/100).

QB coverage

Cam Ward and Joe Burrow are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 2.67 receiving TDs and 1.12 rushing TDs across these offenses. 10 projected offensive players have High role confidence. TEN's largest modeled scorer contribution is Tony Pollard at 0.40 offensive TDs, with 66.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. Elic Ayomanor's receiving-TD matchup against CIN is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 44.5/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). TEN's validated current starting QB is Cam Ward (98.0% expected snaps). CIN's largest modeled scorer contribution is Chase Brown at 0.67 offensive TDs, with 71.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. Ja'Marr Chase's receiving-TD matchup against TEN is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 42.7/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). CIN's validated current starting QB is Joe Burrow (98.0% expected snaps).

  • Tony Pollard — 0.359 rushing TDs + 0.038 receiving TDs • 66.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Elic Ayomanor — defense rating 44.5/100 against CIN • Defense vs WR3 receiving TDs (role-specific live blend)
  • Cam Ward — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • Chase Brown — 0.401 rushing TDs + 0.269 receiving TDs • 71.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Ja'Marr Chase — defense rating 42.7/100 against TEN • Defense vs WR1 receiving TDs (role-specific live blend)
  • Joe Burrow — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Joe Burrow

    QB • CIN • 22.04 DK projected

  • Tee Higgins

    WR • CIN • 19.05 DK projected

  • Chase Brown

    RB • CIN • 16.55 DK projected

  • Ja'Marr Chase

    WR • CIN • 15.82 DK projected

Pat Rank #11Average / Lower Relative Opportunity

ATL @ TB

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

3.69

Expected Offensive TDs

ATL

2.04

Expected offensive TDs

TB

1.65

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

44.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #10 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Similar / Neutral

Why this game ranks here

ATL

Bijan Robinson leads at 0.54 expected TDs.

Kyle Pitts: favorable receiving-TD matchup (19.7/100).

TB

Bucky Irving leads at 0.48 expected TDs.

Bucky Irving: favorable rushing-TD matchup (28.4/100).

QB coverage

Michael Penix Jr. and Baker Mayfield are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 2.66 receiving TDs and 1.03 rushing TDs across these offenses. 11 projected offensive players have High role confidence. ATL's largest modeled scorer contribution is Bijan Robinson at 0.54 offensive TDs, with 80.0% expected snaps and High role confidence. Kyle Pitts's receiving-TD matchup against TB is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 19.7/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). ATL's validated current starting QB is Michael Penix Jr. (98.0% expected snaps). TB's largest modeled scorer contribution is Bucky Irving at 0.48 offensive TDs, with 66.0% expected snaps and High role confidence. Bucky Irving's rushing-TD matchup against ATL is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 28.4/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). TB's validated current starting QB is Baker Mayfield (98.0% expected snaps).

  • Bijan Robinson — 0.377 rushing TDs + 0.160 receiving TDs • 80.0% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Kyle Pitts — defense rating 19.7/100 against TB • Defense vs TE TDs (LB/S/CB personnel-adjusted)
  • Michael Penix Jr. — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • Bucky Irving — 0.317 rushing TDs + 0.161 receiving TDs • 66.0% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Bucky Irving — defense rating 28.4/100 against ATL • Defense vs RB rushing TDs (DL/LB/S personnel-adjusted)
  • Baker Mayfield — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Bijan Robinson

    RB • ATL • 19.81 DK projected

  • Drake London

    WR • ATL • 17.12 DK projected

  • Michael Penix Jr.

    QB • ATL • 16.79 DK projected

  • Baker Mayfield

    QB • TB • 16.21 DK projected

Pat Rank #12Average / Lower Relative Opportunity

CLE @ PIT

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

3.54

Expected Offensive TDs

CLE

1.65

Expected offensive TDs

PIT

1.89

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

39.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #14 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Similar / Neutral

Why this game ranks here

CLE

Quinshon Judkins leads at 0.40 expected TDs.

KC Concepcion: favorable receiving-TD matchup (27.5/100).

PIT

Jaylen Warren leads at 0.51 expected TDs.

Pat Freiermuth: favorable receiving-TD matchup (49.9/100).

QB coverage

Deshaun Watson and Aaron Rodgers are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 2.31 receiving TDs and 1.22 rushing TDs across these offenses. 12 projected offensive players have High role confidence. CLE's largest modeled scorer contribution is Quinshon Judkins at 0.40 offensive TDs, with 57.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. KC Concepcion's receiving-TD matchup against PIT is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 27.5/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). CLE's validated current starting QB is Deshaun Watson (98.0% expected snaps). PIT's largest modeled scorer contribution is Jaylen Warren at 0.51 offensive TDs, with 74.7% expected snaps and High role confidence. Pat Freiermuth's receiving-TD matchup against CLE is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 49.9/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). PIT's validated current starting QB is Aaron Rodgers (98.0% expected snaps).

  • Quinshon Judkins — 0.331 rushing TDs + 0.073 receiving TDs • 57.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • KC Concepcion — defense rating 27.5/100 against PIT • Defense vs WR2 receiving TDs (role-specific live blend)
  • Deshaun Watson — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • Jaylen Warren — 0.381 rushing TDs + 0.131 receiving TDs • 74.7% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Pat Freiermuth — defense rating 49.9/100 against CLE • Defense vs TE TDs (LB/S/CB personnel-adjusted)
  • Aaron Rodgers — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Jaylen Warren

    RB • PIT • 18.35 DK projected

  • Aaron Rodgers

    QB • PIT • 17.80 DK projected

  • Deshaun Watson

    QB • CLE • 15.95 DK projected

  • Quinshon Judkins

    RB • CLE • 12.64 DK projected

Pat Rank #13Average / Lower Relative Opportunity

KC @ DEN

Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

3.46

Expected Offensive TDs

KC

1.61

Expected offensive TDs

DEN

1.84

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

40.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #12 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Similar / Neutral

Why this game ranks here

KC

Kenneth Walker III leads at 0.47 expected TDs.

Travis Kelce: favorable receiving-TD matchup (45.5/100).

DEN

J.K. Dobbins leads at 0.36 expected TDs.

Evan Engram: favorable receiving-TD matchup (42.8/100).

QB coverage

Patrick Mahomes and Bo Nix are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 2.08 receiving TDs and 1.38 rushing TDs across these offenses. 10 projected offensive players have High role confidence. KC's largest modeled scorer contribution is Kenneth Walker III at 0.47 offensive TDs, with 74.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. Travis Kelce's receiving-TD matchup against DEN is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 45.5/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). KC's validated current starting QB is Patrick Mahomes (98.0% expected snaps). DEN's largest modeled scorer contribution is J.K. Dobbins at 0.36 offensive TDs, with 42.3% expected snaps and Medium role confidence. Evan Engram's receiving-TD matchup against KC is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 42.8/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). DEN's validated current starting QB is Bo Nix (98.0% expected snaps).

  • Kenneth Walker III — 0.397 rushing TDs + 0.075 receiving TDs • 74.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Travis Kelce — defense rating 45.5/100 against DEN • Defense vs TE TDs (LB/S/CB personnel-adjusted)
  • Patrick Mahomes — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • J.K. Dobbins — 0.324 rushing TDs + 0.039 receiving TDs • 42.3% expected snaps • Medium role confidence
  • Evan Engram — defense rating 42.8/100 against KC • Defense vs TE TDs (LB/S/CB personnel-adjusted)
  • Bo Nix — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Kenneth Walker III

    RB • KC • 19.08 DK projected

  • Patrick Mahomes

    QB • KC • 16.63 DK projected

  • Bo Nix

    QB • DEN • 14.36 DK projected

  • Rashee Rice

    WR • KC • 12.56 DK projected

Pat Rank #14Average / Lower Relative Opportunity

PHI @ WAS

Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 PM EST • Week 8

Pat's Intelligence

3.23

Expected Offensive TDs

PHI

1.68

Expected offensive TDs

WAS

1.55

Expected offensive TDs

Sportsbook Total

40.5

Points • game over/under

Market rank #12 among covered games with totals

DraftKings projection-time snapshot • As of Thu, Oct 29, 7:47 PM EDT

Pat vs Market

Similar / Neutral

Why this game ranks here

PHI

Dallas Goedert leads at 0.70 expected TDs.

Dallas Goedert: favorable receiving-TD matchup (8.9/100).

WAS

Rachaad White leads at 0.30 expected TDs.

Rachaad White: favorable rushing-TD matchup (43.0/100).

QB coverage

Tanner McKee and Jayden Daniels are validated starters.

More analysis

Current validated player projections contribute 2.45 receiving TDs and 0.79 rushing TDs across these offenses. 9 projected offensive players have High role confidence. PHI's largest modeled scorer contribution is Dallas Goedert at 0.70 offensive TDs, with 74.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. Dallas Goedert's receiving-TD matchup against WAS is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 8.9/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). PHI's validated current starting QB is Tanner McKee (98.0% expected snaps). WAS's largest modeled scorer contribution is Rachaad White at 0.30 offensive TDs, with 57.3% expected snaps and High role confidence. Rachaad White's rushing-TD matchup against PHI is favorable in the existing model: defense rating 43.0/100 versus neutral 50 (lower is more favorable). WAS's validated current starting QB is Jayden Daniels (98.0% expected snaps).

  • Dallas Goedert — 0.000 rushing TDs + 0.704 receiving TDs • 74.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Dallas Goedert — defense rating 8.9/100 against WAS • Defense vs TE TDs (LB/S/CB personnel-adjusted)
  • Tanner McKee — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps
  • Rachaad White — 0.253 rushing TDs + 0.049 receiving TDs • 57.3% expected snaps • High role confidence
  • Rachaad White — defense rating 43.0/100 against PHI • Defense vs RB rushing TDs (DL/LB/S personnel-adjusted)
  • Jayden Daniels — validated current starting QB • 98.0% expected snaps

Fantasy players to watch

  • Jayden Daniels

    QB • WAS • 18.98 DK projected

  • Tanner McKee

    QB • PHI • 18.56 DK projected

  • Dallas Goedert

    TE • PHI • 14.25 DK projected

  • Stefon Diggs

    WR • WAS • 11.71 DK projected